Monkey Pox and The Mathematics of Disease
In this paper, we show that Monkey Pox has reached the threshold of unstoppable transmission in the US with a transmission rate of 81% increase in one week. The virus will go through the entire unvaccinated population in weeks.
Monkey pox; Contagions; Mathematics of disease; Epidemiology
According to CNN on August 3rd, 2022, the rate of increase of Money Pox in the previous week in the USA is 81%. As we show below, this is the rate that causes unstoppable spread of a virus, including Monkey Pox. As of Tuesday, there were 6,326 reported cases of monkeypox, an 81% increase from a week before, according to data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Source: Some lab techs refuse to take blood from possible monkeypox patients, raising concerns about stigma and testing delays, CNN (Figure 1).
d/dt sin θ=+81%
Infection =sin θ=0.81
Rate × t=Rate × 1/E=
=81 / √2=57.28°=1 rad
PE= Mc² 36=M(9)
Human-to-human transmission is limited, with the longest documented chain of transmission being 6 generations, meaning that the last person to be infected in this chain was 6 links away from the original sick person .
E^2+E-2=180=Pi rads (Figure 2)
0.4885 x 2.93=1.4316=0.6985~1/7 1/0.6985 x 1.2345679=1.767~1.77=Work=Moment
t=1/2 GMP Emin=-.125
At this rate of spread, the virus will go through 84.12% of the unvaccinated population in 7 phases.
Received Date: August 25, 2022
Published: October 14, 2022
Address for correspondence
Paul TE Cusack, Independent researcher, Canada
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How to cite this article
Paul TE Cusack. Monkey Pox and The Mathematics of Disease. 2022- 4(5) OAJBS.ID.000499.