Monkey Pox and The Mathematics of Disease

In this paper, we show that Monkey Pox has reached the threshold of unstoppable transmission in the US with a transmission rate of 81% increase in one week. The virus will go through the entire unvaccinated population in weeks.

Monkey pox; Contagions; Mathematics of disease; Epidemiology

According to CNN on August 3rd, 2022, the rate of increase of Money Pox in the previous week in the USA is 81%. As we show below, this is the rate that causes unstoppable spread of a virus, including Monkey Pox. As of Tuesday, there were 6,326 reported cases of monkeypox, an 81% increase from a week before, according to data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Source: Some lab techs refuse to take blood from possible monkeypox patients, raising concerns about stigma and testing delays, CNN (Figure 1).

Infection =sin
d/dt sin θ=+81%
cos θ=0.81
θ=35.9°=0.6266rads
Resistance=1-0.6266=0.373=1/2.678≈1/SF=E
Infection =sin θ=0.81
θ=54.09°=0.94415 rads
t=π/4
0.94415-0.7853=0.1587=Moment
1-0.1587=0.8412475=57.27°≈1 rad
Moment=F×d=Work=E
E=1
TE=PE+KE=hν
=Mc²+1/2Mc²
=6.626×(freq)
=54
=TE
ν=Freq=0.81497~81%
Rate × t=Rate × 1/E=
=81 / √2=57.28°=1 rad
6.626-6.266=0.36=PE
PE= Mc² 36=M(9)
M=4=|D|

Human-to-human transmission is limited, with the longest documented chain of transmission being 6 generations, meaning that the last person to be infected in this chain was 6 links away from the original sick person [1].

36/6/6/6/6/6/6=129600~13
E^2+E-2=180=Pi rads (Figure 2)
Ln 1.2345679=0.21072
3.14159-0.21072=2.9308
2.9308/6 days=0.4885
0.4885 x 2.93=1.4316=0.6985~1/7 1/0.6985 x 1.2345679=1.767~1.77=Work=Moment
0.695/0.8412=1-sqrt3
1-t=t 2t-1=0
t=1/2 GMP Emin=-.125

At this rate of spread, the virus will go through 84.12% of the unvaccinated population in 7 phases.

1. Cusack PTE (2017) The robust solution for epidemiology. Clin Med Invest 2(1): 1-2.